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Description: ICG Contents refering to Afghanistan and Elections
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"Bosnia-Herzegovina, los retos de 2010", Srecko Latal in Politica Exterior
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/3/11

"Why China drags its feet on UN sanctions against Iran", Stephanie T. Kleine-Ahlbrandt in The Christian Science Monitor
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/3/11

Crisis Group Officials Named to UN Advisory Group on Women and Armed Conflict
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/3/11

Radicalisation and Dialogue in Papua

A substantive dialogue between the Indonesian government and Papuan leaders could help stem political radicalisation in the country’s easternmost province. The latest report from the International Crisis Group charts the radicalisation of activists from the central highlands, the province’s mountainous spine, and links a small group of them, the pro-independence National Committee for West Papua (Komite Nasional Papua Barat, KNPB),  to some of the violence that erupted in Papua in 2009. The KNPB is not broadly representative and its tactics are decried by other activists, but its message – that peaceful methods have failed to produce results – resonates more widely.

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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/3/11

"Kein Islam-Dialog in Zentralasien", Robert Templer in Die Zeit
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/3/9

"Kurdistan Election Decided", Joost Hiltermann in National Interest
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/3/9

"Kurds no closer to taking Kirkuk after Iraqi elections", Joost Hiltermann in Foreign Policy
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/3/8

"Der Weg nach der Wahl wird noch schwieriger" Joost Hiltermann and Robert Malley in Die Zeit
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/3/6

"Shifting allegiances in Middle East mean opportunities for President Obama"Robert Malley and Peter Harling in The Washington Post
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/3/6

Implementing the Responsibility to Protect in Kenya and Beyond, Mark Schneider
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/3/5

NATO’s New Strategic Concept: A Partnership for Crisis Management, Donald Steinberg
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/3/4

"Les frontières incertaines du Kurdistan", Joost Hiltermann in Le Monde diplomatique
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/3/4

Middle East Peace: Ground Truths, Challenges Ahead, Robert Malley
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/3/4

African Peace-building Agenda: "Elections au Burundi : Prévenir toute escalade de violence", François Grignon
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/3/3

Zimbabwe: Political and Security Challenges to the Transition

Despite initial scepticism, Zimbabwe’s year-old unity government has achievements to its credit. But the democratic transition remains at risk, especially from hard-line security officials – President Robert Mugabe’s last reliable supporters. The latest briefing from the International Crisis Group analyses the situation resulting from the Global Political Agreement (GPA) that broke the stalemate following failed 2008 presidential elections and led to formation of the unity government in February 2009. It concludes that all domestic signatories of the GPA, as well as the South African mediation, must embrace democratic transformation as the vital objective of the transition.

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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/3/3

"Asia Central, contra las cuerdas", Robert Templer in Foreign Policy Edición Española
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/3/2

"Warum China mit Sanktionen zögert",Stephanie Kleine-Ahlbrandt in Die Zeit
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/3/2

CrisisWatch N°79, 1 March 2010

Four actual or potential conflict situations around the world deteriorated and two improved in February 2010, according to CrisisWatch. Côte d’Ivoire’s President Gbagbo dissolved both the electoral commission and government on 12 February, triggering violent protests that killed at least 7. In Niger soldiers launched a successful military coup, while in Kenya the coalition government was plunged into crisis over two major corruption scandals. The situations improved in Yemen, where the government and Houthi rebels reached a peace agreement, and in Guinea, where prospects for an end to military rule continued to improve.

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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/3/1

The Threat from Jamaat-ul Mujahideen Bangladesh

The Bangladesh government has taken steps to dismantle the terrorist group Jamaat-ul Mujahideen Bangladesh (JMB), but it should not take its demise for granted: the organisation is regrouping and the possibility of another attack is increasing. Despite two government crackdowns since 2005, the organisation continues to recruit, train and raise funds. Although JMB is a much weaker force due to the arrest of hundreds of its members and the execution of its original leadership council, it remains a potent threat with a proven capacity to regenerate.

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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/3/1

"Sudan: un 2010 decisivo tra elezioni e referendum", Alain Délétroz in Limes
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/26

Abkhazia: Deepening Dependence

In the eighteen months since Russia recognised it as independent from Georgia, small but strategic Abkhazia has become increasingly dependent on its giant patron. The International Crisis Group gives a snapshot of the current situation, particularly the extent of Russian economic, political and cultural dominance in the Black Sea entity.

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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/26

Iraq’s Uncertain Future: Elections and Beyond

The run-up to the Iraqi elections on 7 March has brought to light deep-seated problems that threaten the country’s fragile recovery. The latest report from the International Crisis Group examines the path to the country’s third parliamentary election in five years. Issues that complicated and almost derailed the elections – the disqualification of almost 500 candidates on charges of Baathist affiliation, accusations of demographic manipulations in Kirkuk, fears over the rights of out-of-country voters – reflect more profound conflicts that could haunt efforts to form a new government.

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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/25

"Is policing in Timor-Leste a spectator sport?", Cillian Nolan in The Lowy Intepreter
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/24

The Sri Lankan Tamil Diaspora after the LTTE

Sri Lankan Tamil diaspora groups should move away, once and for all, from the failed agenda of the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) and instead put their energies into the quest for a sustainable and just peace in a united Sri Lanka. The latest report from the International Crisis Group examines political dynamics within the Tamil diaspora since May 2009, as Tamils abroad adapt to the LTTE’s defeat. While there is little chance of the Tamil Tigers regrouping in the diaspora, most Tamils abroad remain profoundly committed to a separate state of Tamil Eelam in Sri Lanka.

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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/23

"The Middle East's Dangerous Equilibrium", Peter Harling in Foreign Policy
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/23

"Kapazität der EU zur Friedenssicherung schwindet",Alain Délétroz in Der Tagesspiegel
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/22

"The spoils of EU reform",Alain Délétroz in Reuters
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/19

"La UE se juega su prestigio en Sudán", Alain Délétroz in Foreign Policy Edición Española
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/18

The Iran Nuclear Issue: The View from Beijing
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/17

The Iran Nuclear Issue: The View from Beijing

China lacks the West’s urgency about the Iran nuclear issue, is yet to be convinced Tehran is near capability to highly enrich and weaponise uranium or a military confrontation is imminent, and insists more diplomacy is key to a peaceful solution. In addition to energy, its relationship with Tehran is shaped by broader foreign and domestic policy calculations. It likely will pursue a delay-and-weaken strategy on sanctions the West says are needed to produce serious negotiations, but if facing unanimous support for new sanctions in the Security Council, it can be expected to avoid a veto and focus on ensuring punitive measures will not harm its interests.

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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/17

Sri Lanka: "La revanche sans fin de Rajapakse", Alain Délétroz in Le Temps
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/16

Reforming Pakistan's Civil Service

If Pakistan’s deteriorating civil service is not urgently repaired, public disillusionment and resentment could be used by the military to justify another spell of authoritarian rule. The International Crisis Group analyses the structure and functioning of Pakistan’s civil bureaucracy and identifies critical flaws as well as measures to make it more accountable. Military rule has left behind a demoralised and inefficient bureaucracy that was used to ensure regime survival. Low salaries, insecure tenure, obsolete accountability mechanisms and political interference have spawned widespread corruption and impunity. If the flaws of an unreformed bureaucracy are not urgently addressed, the government risks losing public support.

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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/16

"La lenta implosión de Sudán", Alain Délétroz in El Mundo
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/12

Burundi: Ensuring Credible Elections

Burundi’s escape from its long civil war can only be solidified if all political forces, including government, opposition parties, civil society and media ensure that this year’s series of elections is truly democratic. The International Crisis Group examines the rise in tensions before communal, presidential, legislative and additional local elections that are to be conducted separately between May and September. Such an escalation could lead to new violence that would ruin the credibility of the electoral process and endanger a fragile democracy.

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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/12

"Haiti's Women Rise from the Rubble", Bernice Robertson in The Daily Beast
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/12

Sudan: "The right terms for a wrong engagement", Alain Délétroz in European Voice
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/11

"Zimbabwe's Unity Government at One Year: Much to Celebrate, Much to Do", Donald Steinberg in The Guardian
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/11

"Nigerias Staatskrise eskaliert", Louise Arbour and Ayo Obe in Die Zeit
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/10

Haiti: “Hundert Jahre Grausamkeit”, Donald Steinberg in Süddeutsche Zeitung
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/9

Haiti: Building Back Better - and Beyond Mark Schneider
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/4

Tackling State Fragility: The New World of Peacebuilding, Donald Steinberg
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/2

Central African Republic: "Relancer le dialogue politique", Edward Dalby in AllAfrica
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/2

CrisisWatch N°78, 1 February 2010

Two actual or potential conflict situations around the world deteriorated and two improved in January 2010, according to CrisisWatch. In Haiti, up to 200,000 are feared dead in a devastating earthquake that has reversed much of the country’s recent progress in institutional strengthening, while a fresh outbreak of violence between Muslims and Christians in Nigeria claimed at least 320 lives. The situation improved in Guinea where hopes for an end to military rule were raised after successful talks between junta leaders and regional mediator Blaise Campaoré.

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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/1

"Leaderless Nigeria could spin out of control", Louise Arbour and Ayo Obe in Financial Times
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/1

"Le Turkménistan et les droits de l'homme", Alain Délétroz in Les Echos
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/1

Haïti, où les meilleures intentions échouent Donald Steinberg in Le Figaro
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/2/1

"Playing with fire in Iraq", Joost Hiltermann in The National
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/1/28

The International Role in Promoting Democratic Governance and Economic Recovery in Zimbabwe, Donald Steinberg
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/1/27

"Crisis Group: Seismograf des Grauens", Der Tagesspiegel
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/1/26

"Depuis un an, la diplomatie américaine fait du surplace au Proche-Orient", Robert Malley in Le Monde
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/1/26

"Ein kritisches Jahr für Bosnien", Srecko Latal in Der Tagesspiegel
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/1/25

Sri Lanka: "Zweikampf unter Nationalisten", Chris Patten in Die Zeit
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/1/25

On the Death of Our Colleague Arthur Kepel
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/1/25

Haiti: "End nation's vulnerability", Mark Schneider in The Miami Herald
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/1/24

"BiH pred ključnim izazovima u 2010", Srećko Latal in Nezavisne novine
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/1/23

"Sécurité, justice, politique : tout ce que Haïti doit reconstruire", Mark Schneider in Rue 89
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/1/22

“Haití: emerger en un país nuevo”, Mark Schneider in Foreign Policy Edición Española
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/1/22

"Wie Haiti den Wiederaufbau schaffen kann", Mark Schneider and Bernice Robertson in Die Zeit
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/1/22


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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/1/21

"Bosnia Faces Critical Challenges in 2010", Srecko Latal in Balkan Insight
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Reference: Crisis Group - 2010/1/21

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